Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.000157 0.000174 0.000193 0.000214 0.000238 0.000263 0.000294
2025-08-03 0.000128 0.000153 0.000182 0.000218 0.000263 0.000316 0.000384
2025-08-10 0.000107 0.000135 0.000169 0.000215 0.000275 0.000352 0.000458
2025-08-17 0.000092 0.000122 0.000160 0.000213 0.000287 0.000387 0.000533
2025-08-24 0.000081 0.000111 0.000151 0.000210 0.000294 0.000414 0.000599
2025-08-31 0.000071 0.000100 0.000141 0.000203 0.000296 0.000432 0.000653
2025-09-07 0.000065 0.000094 0.000137 0.000203 0.000307 0.000465 0.000733
2025-09-14 0.000061 0.000091 0.000135 0.000206 0.000322 0.000506 0.000831
2025-09-21 0.000055 0.000084 0.000129 0.000202 0.000325 0.000528 0.000898
2025-09-28 0.000050 0.000078 0.000121 0.000195 0.000321 0.000537 0.000944
2025-10-05 0.000047 0.000075 0.000119 0.000197 0.000335 0.000576 0.001050
2025-10-12 0.000045 0.000073 0.000119 0.000202 0.000352 0.000624 0.001177
2025-10-19 0.000042 0.000070 0.000116 0.000201 0.000360 0.000657 0.001283
2025-10-26 0.000040 0.000067 0.000114 0.000204 0.000376 0.000708 0.001435
2025-11-02 0.000037 0.000064 0.000110 0.000201 0.000380 0.000737 0.001547
2025-11-09 0.000035 0.000061 0.000107 0.000199 0.000387 0.000771 0.001675
2025-11-16 0.000032 0.000057 0.000103 0.000196 0.000389 0.000796 0.001786
2025-11-23 0.000030 0.000053 0.000098 0.000189 0.000384 0.000806 0.001863
2025-11-30 0.000028 0.000052 0.000096 0.000189 0.000394 0.000849 0.002026
2025-12-07 0.000027 0.000050 0.000095 0.000193 0.000410 0.000908 0.002240
2025-12-14 0.000025 0.000048 0.000092 0.000189 0.000411 0.000931 0.002365
2025-12-21 0.000023 0.000045 0.000087 0.000182 0.000403 0.000931 0.002429
2025-12-28 0.000022 0.000044 0.000087 0.000184 0.000417 0.000990 0.002665